A rules-based trend system · 19 years of evidence

The market has weather. Most portfolios sail straight into the storm.

Be positioned for growth while the market's trend is strong. Step aside to safety when it turns. You get one clear signal each morning and place the trade in your own account. We never touch your money.

You trade in your own account, and we never touch your money. Cancel anytime.

28.1%
Return / year
$1.09M
$10k since 2007
0.96
Sharpe ratio
−39%
Worst drawdown
Growth of $10,000 · log scale TRADEWINDS&P 500
Backtested 2007–2026, net of realistic costs · not a live track record
FAIR WINDS: positioned for growth
Trend confirmed · barometer steady
Sample daily signal
The insight

You don't beat the market by predicting it. You beat it by knowing when to leave.

Buy and hold rides every boom and every crash all the way down. In 2008 the S&P 500 fell 55%. It took years to come back.

TRADEWIND watches one thing: is the long-term trend intact? When it is, you are positioned for growth. When it breaks, you move to safety and wait. A few well-timed moves a year, no noise in between.

TRADEWIND
−39%
S&P 500
−55%

Worst drop, 2007 to 2026. We recover from a shallower hole, and faster.

The system

Three conditions. One position. Read the weather, set the sail.

Like a captain reading the barometer, the system classifies the market into one state each day and holds exactly one position to match it.

Force 1–3 · Fair winds

Trend confirmed

The market's primary trend is up and steady. Carry full sail.

→ Hold the growth position
Force 4–6 · Building seas

Volatility rising

The trend wavers or the seas turn rough. The system reefs the sails before the worst of it.

→ Reduce risk / safe harbor
Force 7+ · Storm

Trend broken

The downtrend is confirmed. Drop anchor in safe-haven assets and wait it out.

→ Move to safety
The exact rule and the instruments it uses are proprietary. It is one simple, mechanical signal, not a black box of fifty indicators.
The track record

Nineteen years, every crisis included.

2008, 2020, 2022. The numbers below run through every crash since 2007, after realistic trading costs.

Strategy$10,000 becameReturn / yrSharpeWorst drop
TRADEWIND$1,089,55028.1%0.96−39%
S&P 500 (buy & hold)$69,60210.8%0.62−55%

Backtested June 2007 to June 2026, after realistic trading costs. This is a backtest, not a live track record. Past performance does not predict future results. See disclosures below.

The math, honestly

What could compounding do?

A projection, not a promise. It compounds the backtested rate. The real future will differ.

At the backtested 28.1% / year
$119,000
from $10,000 over 10 years
If it ran half as hot (14%/yr)$37,100
Total multiple11.9×

Compounding is not a guarantee. The same strategy went through drops of about 39% along the way, and the next decade may look nothing like the last. Invest only what you can hold through a deep drawdown.

Membership

The signal in your hands. Your money stays yours.

The daily signal

Every morning, see exactly what to hold: stay put, switch, or move to cash. Most days it says hold. The day it changes is the day that matters.

Alerts when it changes

The moment the signal moves, you get an email and text, so you never miss the trade that protects your money.

Live dashboard

Watch the strategy's performance in real time: position, return, and drawdown.

You stay in control

You place every trade in your own account. We never hold a dollar of your money.

Membership

One signal. Two simple plans.

Every plan starts with a 7-day free trial. Cancel anytime, and you always trade in your own account.

Monthly
$14.99/mo
7 days free, then $14.99/mo. Cancel anytime.
  • The daily signal: exactly what to hold
  • Email & text alerts the moment it changes
  • Live reference-account dashboard
Start free trial
Best value
Yearly
$9.99/mo
7 days free, then $120/yr · save 33%
  • Everything in the monthly plan
  • Save 33% versus paying monthly
  • One payment, locked for the year
Start free trial
Questions

Straight answers.

Do you ever touch my money?
Never. You keep your money in your own brokerage account and place each trade yourself, a handful per year. We have no access to your funds. That is why this isn't money management.
How bad can the drawdowns get?
Real. The strategy uses leverage in uptrends, and over the backtest it fell about 39% from a peak before recovering. That is shallower than buy and hold's 55%, and it recovered faster. But it is not for money you will need next year. Size your position to something you can hold through a 40% drop.
Is this a backtest or live results?
The headline numbers are a backtest over June 2007 to June 2026, after realistic costs. It is not an audited live track record. The live signal is now trading forward, and you can watch it in your dashboard.
How often do I have to do anything?
Almost never. The signal changes only a few times a year, so there is nothing to watch day to day. When it does change, you get an email and text, and the trade takes about a minute. The rest of the time, you simply hold.
What am I really paying for?
The move that matters. The signal that gets you to safety before a major drop, or back in near the bottom, can be worth years of the fee on its own. In between, you get a daily all-clear so you can hold through the scary days without second-guessing. You are paying to never miss the move that protects your money, and to stop watching the market yourself.
What do I need to get started?
A regular brokerage account that can buy common ETFs (a free Robinhood account works). No options, no margin, no shorting. Just buying and selling a fund.
Is this financial advice?
No. TRADEWIND publishes a systematic signal for educational use. It isn't personalized investment advice and doesn't account for your circumstances. You are responsible for your own decisions. Please read the disclosures below and consider speaking with a licensed advisor.

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